Live countdown and probabilities for upcoming FOMC rate decisions.
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Track the CME FedWatch probabilities for upcoming FOMC rate decisions.
The CME FedWatch Tool acts as a barometer for market expectations of potential changes to the federal funds target rate during upcoming FOMC meetings. It calculates these probabilities based on 30-Day Federal Funds futures pricing data.
Interest rates dictate the cost of capital. When the Fed raises rates, the USD typically strengthens and risk assets (like stocks and crypto) may sell off. Conversely, rate cuts typically weaken the USD and boost risk assets. Trading around FOMC decisions requires strict risk management.